The losses are pooled nationally
Insurers price risk locally, but they absorb losses nationally. IBC says insured losses from extreme weather in Canada averaged $3.7 billion a year over the past decade. That is up from $1.4 billion a year in the decade before and $883 million a year in the decade before that, about a 320 per cent increase after inflation. 2024 was the costliest year on record, at more than $9.4 billion. A Prairie season of this size adds to the loss record that every Canadian insurer uses to set prices.
Reinsurance, the insurance that insurers buy for themselves, is part of this story, but it is more complicated than "costs go up." According to Guy Carpenter's 2026 outlook for Canada, reported by Insurance Business Canada, the catastrophe reinsurance market got more expensive every year from 2021 through 2025 and is expected to ease in 2026. That relief takes time to reach homeowners, though. The same report estimates Canadian home premiums rose about 7 to 12 per cent on average in 2026, and 15 per cent or more in some high-risk postal codes. It also notes that many moderate events spread across the country keep renewal pressure on, even for owners far from the flooding.
What owners can and can't control
Nobody can tell you what your renewal will cost. Some things are clear, though. Edmonton alone expects about $42 million in uninsurable public-sector losses from this summer's storms, and city staff told councillors they expect the City's own insurance premiums to go up, CBC News reported. There is also no public fallback for households that can't buy coverage. The federal government committed $450 million toward a national flood insurance program with an April 2026 target, but IBC said in July that there is no confirmed timeline.
That leaves the three checks as the part owners can control. Know which water endorsements you carry and what their limits are. Install or maintain the device that matches your home's risk, and use a subsidy if your city offers one. Document the basement so a claim can be proven. None of these steps guarantees a lower premium. They do make it much less likely that a sewer backup turns into an uncovered loss.
For the national trend behind these numbers, see Canada's Decade of Climate Catastrophe: Insured Losses Nearly Tripled to $37 Billion, Reshaping Home Insurance for Every Homeowner.