Two decades of rising water losses
A single expensive summer could be bad luck. Two decades of them is a trend. Over the last 20 years, flood and water-related insured losses have risen more than 300% compared with the previous two decades, and in recent years water-related events have accounted for 39% of insured catastrophic losses, according to the Insurance Bureau of Canada. Water, in other words, is no longer a minor peril hiding inside the catastrophe numbers. It is close to being the largest slice of them.
The cost trend behind those percentages is just as stark. Since 2009, insurers have paid an average of more than $2 billion a year in catastrophic weather claims, and the last two years pushed well past that average, with $2.4 billion in 2025 and $9.4 billion in 2024. The 2024 figure came during what the bureau called the costliest severe-weather season in Canadian history, a year in which the July flash flood in Toronto alone was later revised upward to more than $909 million. That upward revision is worth holding onto: initial estimates are floors, not ceilings, and today's June numbers may look conservative in a year.
The bureau's own framing is blunt. Flood risk "is no longer a future challenge — it is a current reality affecting Canadians from coast to coast," said Liam McGuinty, its Vice-President of Federal Affairs. For homeowners, that reframe is the point. Billion-dollar catastrophe years have stopped being exceptional, and the market's response — in pricing, in coverage terms, in the decade-long climb in insured losses — is not going to reverse quickly.