HELOCs, refinance appraisals and winter listings
Market indexes don't set your home's value, but they do shape the conditions lenders and buyers work in. Three decisions are most directly affected.
HELOC borrowing room. Equity borrowing is capped as a share of your home's value. The Financial Consumer Agency of Canada notes that a home equity line of credit can let you borrow up to 65% of your home's value, and refinancing usually up to 80%. When the value goes down, the ceiling goes down with it. Whether an existing HELOC limit changes depends on your lender and your agreement. A new application or a limit increase, however, will be based on a current valuation.
Refinance appraisals. If you are refinancing to consolidate debt or fund a renovation, the appraisal may come in lower than you would have expected a year ago. This is especially likely in segments that have fallen the most, such as Toronto condos, Vancouver detached homes and Calgary apartments. Recent comparable sales on your street will matter more than any city average.
The table below shows the effect using the Toronto-area seasonally adjusted benchmark. It is an illustration of the calculation, not a valuation of any specific home.
Your available room is the ceiling minus what you still owe, so the drop in value comes straight off the top.
Winter listings. Winter usually brings fewer buyers, and conditions this year depend heavily on where you are. In Vancouver and Montreal, high or rising inventory means more competing listings. In Toronto, falling inventory is helping somewhat, though condo sellers still face a crowded field. Calgary's balanced market and roughly four months of supply give detached sellers the most predictable conditions of the four cities. In every case, pricing should be based on recent comparable sales for your property type, not the city headline.