The most useful way to read the May 2026 data is alongside CMHC's 2026 Mortgage Consumer Survey, which produced the more comforting headline of the spring. According to Canadian Mortgage Professional's summary of the CMHC findings, the share of respondents concerned about defaulting on their mortgage dropped to 39% from 53% a year earlier, while 81% still view homeownership as a sound long-term financial investment.
The reassuring number and the structural number describe the same household. CMHC's survey also reported that among renewers — now the largest segment of mortgage activity — 35% experienced increased financial pressure from interest-rate changes, with average monthly payments rising by roughly $375. About 31% of all mortgage consumers said they had cut, or planned to cut, non-mortgage expenses such as dining out, entertainment, travel, and personal care to manage their payments.
That last data point is the bridge between the two stories. Default worry is down because borrowers absorbed the renewal shock by trimming the rest of the budget. The same behaviour shows up in the credit aggregates as flat consumer credit growth and a rising mortgage share. Households did not stop borrowing. They concentrated what they borrow against the house and stopped expanding what they borrow for almost everything else.
The earlier CMHC 2025 survey makes the underlying strain even more explicit: 51% of mortgage consumers reported having difficulty maintaining their debt payments (up from 42% the year before), 14% had missed a mortgage payment for economic reasons, and 22% were using one form of credit to pay off another. The behavioural adjustments captured in the 2026 survey are the response to that strain — not its disappearance.